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Seminars

The Pricing of Deposit Insurance in the Presence of Systematic Risk

  • 2014-03-11 (Tue.), 10:30 AM
  • Recreation Hall, 2F, Institute of Statistical Science
  • Prof. Shih-Cheng Lee
  • College of Management, Yuan Ze University

Abstract

Based on the Merton (1977) put option framework, we develop a deposit insurance pricing model that incorporates asset correlations, a measurement for the systematic risk of a bank, to account for the risk of joint bank failures. Estimates from our model suggest that actuarially fair risk-based deposit insurance that considers only individual bank failure risk is underpriced, leaving insurance providers exposed to net losses. Our estimates also capture the size premium where big banks are priced with higher deposit insurance than small banks. This result is particularly relevant to the current regulatory concerns on big banks that are systemically important. Above all, our approach provides a unifying framework for integrating risk-based deposit insurance with risk-based Basel capital requirements.

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